Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Saudi Arabia
66.5% win probability
Predicted winner
20.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.99 - 0.75
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Saudi Arabia

1468#49
AFC
VS

Puerto Rico

1401#107
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

66.5% 20.3% 13.2%
KSA
PUR
67
Rating Gap
1.99
Exp. Goals KSA
0.75
Exp. Goals PUR
86.8%
KSA No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 21pp

Saudi Arabia keep 40.7% clean sheets vs Puerto Rico's 19.8%, a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2005

Saudi Arabia have a major tournament title to their name; Puerto Rico do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 67 pts

Saudi Arabia hold a 67-point rating edge: roughly 10.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 12% W

Puerto Rico have won 12% of games entering as underdogs (16W from 136). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 19 games

Saudi Arabia's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Puerto Rico's 9. Saudi Arabia have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
KSA Win
0
Draws
0
PUR Win
3
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
169
Games Played
68
45.0%
Win %
35.3%
1.37
Goals Per Game
1.63
0.99
Goals Against / Game
1.62
43.2%
Clean Sheet %
25.0%
29.0%
Failed to Score %
44.1%
11.2%
Goalless Draws %
5.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,468
Current Rating
1,401
#49
World Ranking
#107
55.6%
Win as Favourite
51.8%
27.5%
Win as Underdog
11.8%
11
Longest Win Streak
6
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1577 (2002)
Peak Rating
1424 (2023)
7W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

66.5% 20.3% 13.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 05 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.8%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
3 - 0
8.5%
0 - 0
6.4%