Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Türkiye
56.4% win probability
Predicted winner
23.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.95 - 1.76
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Kosovo

1460#55
UEFA
VS

Türkiye

1522#23
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

20.2% 23.4% 56.4%
KOS
TUR
62
Rating Gap
0.95
Exp. Goals KOS
1.76
Exp. Goals TUR
43.6%
KOS No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

When Favourite 77% W

Türkiye win 77% of games when entering as the favoured side (23W from 30). Reliable frontrunners.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.35 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Recent Form 5W/7W

Türkiye won 7 of their last 10 games; Kosovo won 5. Current form favours Türkiye.

Rating Gap 62 pts

Türkiye hold a 62-point rating edge: roughly 9.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 21% W

Kosovo have won 21% of games entering as underdogs (11W from 52). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
KOS Win
0
Draws
1
TUR Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
97
Games Played
48
40.2%
Win %
60.4%
1.42
Goals Per Game
1.94
1.31
Goals Against / Game
1.27
30.9%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
28.9%
Failed to Score %
18.8%
5.2%
Goalless Draws %
6.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,460
Current Rating
1,522
#55
World Ranking
#23
58.8%
Win as Favourite
76.7%
21.2%
Win as Underdog
33.3%
5
Longest Win Streak
4
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1486 (2026)
Peak Rating
1542 (2026)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

20.2% 23.4% 56.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 31 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 0
6.7%
1 - 0
6.3%