Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Kosovo
95.2% win probability
Predicted winner
4.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
3.48 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.6
Over 2.5: 70%
Total goals

Kosovo

1460#55
UEFA
VS

Andorra

1252#212
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

95.2% 4.2% 0.5%
KOS
AND
208
Rating Gap
3.48
Exp. Goals KOS
0.15
Exp. Goals AND
99.4%
KOS No Defeat
3.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 208 pts

Kosovo hold a 208-point rating edge: roughly 31.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/1W

Kosovo won 5 of their last 10 games; Andorra won 1. Current form favours Kosovo.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Kosovo keep 32.0% clean sheets vs Andorra's 15.6%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 3.6 xG

Combined avg of 1.74 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 70%).

Underdog Record 3% W

Andorra have won 3% of games entering as underdogs (7W from 216). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2023-2026

2
KOS Win
1
Draws
0
AND Win
7
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
97
Games Played
99
40.2%
Win %
12.1%
1.42
Goals Per Game
0.40
1.31
Goals Against / Game
1.75
30.9%
Clean Sheet %
25.3%
28.9%
Failed to Score %
69.7%
5.2%
Goalless Draws %
14.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,460
Current Rating
1,252
#55
World Ranking
#212
58.8%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
21.2%
Win as Underdog
3.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
2
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
5
1486 (2026)
Peak Rating
1291 (2022)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

95.2% 4.2% 0.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 07 Jun 26 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
A 12 Oct 23 AWAY
0 - 3
UEFA European Championship
D 28 Mar 23 AWAY
1 - 1
UEFA European Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
3 - 0
18.6%
4 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
16.1%
5 - 0
11.3%
1 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
2.8%