Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
90.4% win probability
Predicted winner
8.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.69 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

South Korea

1544#16
AFC
VS

Trinidad & Tobago

1378#124
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

90.4% 8.5% 1.1%
KOR
TRI
166
Rating Gap
2.69
Exp. Goals KOR
0.15
Exp. Goals TRI
98.9%
KOR No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/1W

South Korea won 6 of their last 10 games; Trinidad & Tobago won 1. Current form favours South Korea.

Rating Gap 166 pts

South Korea hold a 166-point rating edge: roughly 24.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 15pp

South Korea keep 46.3% clean sheets vs Trinidad & Tobago's 31.6%, a 15pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.46 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

Win Streak 3 games

South Korea are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2004-2026

1
KOR Win
1
Draws
0
TRI Win
6
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
151
Games Played
142
57.6%
Win %
31.0%
1.83
Goals Per Game
1.46
0.86
Goals Against / Game
1.68
53.0%
Clean Sheet %
25.4%
19.9%
Failed to Score %
34.5%
9.9%
Goalless Draws %
6.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,544
Current Rating
1,378
#16
World Ranking
#124
57.5%
Win as Favourite
51.1%
37.5%
Win as Underdog
26.3%
12
Longest Win Streak
8
33
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1610 (1978)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
15W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

90.4% 8.5% 1.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 30 May 26 NEUTRAL
5 - 0
Friendly
D 14 Jul 04 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
21.2%
3 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
15.8%
4 - 0
12.7%
5 - 0
6.8%
0 - 0
5.9%