Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
92.5% win probability
Predicted winner
6.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.97 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.1
Over 2.5: 60%
Total goals

South Korea

1544#16
AFC
VS

El Salvador

1376#127
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

92.5% 6.6% 0.9%
KOR
SLV
168
Rating Gap
2.97
Exp. Goals KOR
0.15
Exp. Goals SLV
99.1%
KOR No Defeat
3.1
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/2W

South Korea won 6 of their last 10 games; El Salvador won 2. Current form favours South Korea.

Rating Gap 168 pts

South Korea hold a 168-point rating edge: roughly 25.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 20pp

South Korea keep 46.3% clean sheets vs El Salvador's 26.6%, a 20pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Win Streak 3 games

South Korea are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Goal Patterns 3.1 xG

Combined avg of 3.03 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.1 (Over 2.5 probability: 60%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2023-2026

1
KOR Win
1
Draws
0
SLV Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
151
Games Played
143
57.6%
Win %
33.6%
1.83
Goals Per Game
1.05
0.86
Goals Against / Game
1.20
53.0%
Clean Sheet %
34.3%
19.9%
Failed to Score %
40.6%
9.9%
Goalless Draws %
8.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,544
Current Rating
1,376
#16
World Ranking
#127
57.5%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
37.5%
Win as Underdog
22.3%
12
Longest Win Streak
7
33
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1610 (1978)
Peak Rating
1519 (2021)
15W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

92.5% 6.6% 0.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 03 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly
D 20 Jun 23 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
19.5%
3 - 0
19.3%
4 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
13.1%
5 - 0
8.5%
0 - 0
4.4%