Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
79.6% win probability
Predicted winner
15.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.14 - 0.34
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

South Korea

1544#16
AFC
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

79.6% 15.7% 4.7%
KOR
CZP
141
Rating Gap
2.14
Exp. Goals KOR
0.34
Exp. Goals CZP
95.3%
KOR No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Underdog Record 36% W

Czech Republic have won 36% of games entering as underdogs (20W from 56). A strong record against the odds.

Rating Gap 141 pts

South Korea hold a 141-point rating edge: roughly 21.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.62 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

Recent Form 6W/4W

South Korea won 6 of their last 10 games; Czech Republic won 4. Current form favours South Korea.

Tournament Pedigree 2018

South Korea have a major tournament title to their name; Czech Republic do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 1998-2026

1
KOR Win
1
Draws
1
CZP Win
4
Goals For
8
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
151
Games Played
3
57.6%
Win %
0.0%
1.83
Goals Per Game
0.67
0.86
Goals Against / Game
1.33
53.0%
Clean Sheet %
0.0%
19.9%
Failed to Score %
33.3%
9.9%
Goalless Draws %
0.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,544
Current Rating
1,403
#16
World Ranking
-
57.5%
Win as Favourite
61.3%
37.5%
Win as Underdog
35.7%
12
Longest Win Streak
8
33
Longest Unbeaten Run
20
1610 (1978)
Peak Rating
1577 (2006)
15W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

79.6% 15.7% 4.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 11 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup
H 15 Aug 01 AWAY
5 - 0
Friendly
D 27 May 98 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
17.9%
3 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
8.4%
4 - 0
7.3%
2 - 1
6.6%