Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
63.8% win probability
Predicted winner
21.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.94 - 0.82
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

South Korea

1525#23
AFC
VS

Czechia

1450#59
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

63.8% 21.2% 15.0%
KOR
CZE
74
Rating Gap
1.94
Exp. Goals KOR
0.82
Exp. Goals CZE
85.0%
KOR No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 17pp

South Korea keep 46.2% clean sheets vs Czechia's 29.1%, a 17pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.43 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Recent Form 6W/4W

South Korea won 6 of their last 10 games; Czechia won 4. Current form favours South Korea.

Tournament Pedigree 2018

South Korea have a major tournament title to their name; Czechia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 74 pts

South Korea hold a 74-point rating edge: roughly 11.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2016-2026

2
KOR Win
0
Draws
0
CZE Win
4
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
153
Games Played
117
56.9%
Win %
47.0%
1.80
Goals Per Game
1.65
0.86
Goals Against / Game
1.23
52.3%
Clean Sheet %
29.1%
20.9%
Failed to Score %
22.2%
9.8%
Goalless Draws %
4.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,525
Current Rating
1,450
#23
World Ranking
#59
57.5%
Win as Favourite
65.6%
37.1%
Win as Underdog
24.5%
12
Longest Win Streak
5
33
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1610 (1978)
Peak Rating
1491 (2021)
15W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

63.8% 21.2% 15.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 11 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 05 Jun 16 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
3 - 0
7.7%
0 - 0
6.4%