Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

South Korea
39.4% win probability
Predicted winner
27.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.25 - 1.12
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

South Korea

1544#16
AFC
VS

Côte d'Ivoire

1531#21
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

39.4% 27.8% 32.8%
KOR
CIV
13
Rating Gap
1.25
Exp. Goals KOR
1.12
Exp. Goals CIV
67.2%
KOR No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.35 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

Recent Form 6W/7W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: South Korea 6/10, Côte d'Ivoire 7/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2018

South Korea have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Win Streak 3 games

South Korea are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Unbeaten Run 33 games

South Korea's longest unbeaten run is 33 games vs Côte d'Ivoire's 26. South Korea have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2010-2026

1
KOR Win
0
Draws
1
CIV Win
2
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
151
Games Played
141
57.6%
Win %
51.1%
1.83
Goals Per Game
1.49
0.86
Goals Against / Game
0.82
53.0%
Clean Sheet %
42.6%
19.9%
Failed to Score %
30.5%
9.9%
Goalless Draws %
13.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,544
Current Rating
1,531
#16
World Ranking
#21
57.5%
Win as Favourite
53.9%
37.5%
Win as Underdog
39.0%
12
Longest Win Streak
7
33
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1610 (1978)
Peak Rating
1583 (2013)
15W-13L
Penalty Shootouts
11W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

39.4% 27.8% 32.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 28 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 4
Friendly
H 03 Mar 10 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
10.4%
0 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.3%