Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Comoros
38.9% win probability
Predicted winner
27.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.15 - 1.26
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals

Kazakhstan

1347#151
UEFA
VS

Comoros

1373#132
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

33.6% 27.5% 38.9%
KAZ
COM
26
Rating Gap
1.15
Exp. Goals KAZ
1.26
Exp. Goals COM
61.1%
KAZ No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Kazakhstan won 3 of their last 10 games; Comoros won 1. Current form favours Kazakhstan.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 1.90 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

Rating Gap 26 pts

Comoros hold a 26-point rating edge: roughly 3.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Penalty Shootouts 100% PSO

Shootout record: Kazakhstan: 3W-0L; Comoros: 1W-1L. Edge goes to Kazakhstan if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Trajectory +28 pts

Kazakhstan are gaining momentum recently (+28 pts). Comoros have moved -20 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
KAZ Win
0
Draws
0
COM Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
98
Games Played
118
28.6%
Win %
33.1%
1.02
Goals Per Game
1.05
1.69
Goals Against / Game
1.25
24.5%
Clean Sheet %
31.4%
35.7%
Failed to Score %
34.7%
4.1%
Goalless Draws %
8.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,347
Current Rating
1,373
#151
World Ranking
#132
46.7%
Win as Favourite
39.2%
16.7%
Win as Underdog
18.9%
4
Longest Win Streak
4
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1539 (1992)
Peak Rating
1420 (2024)
3W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

33.6% 27.5% 38.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 AWAY
1 - 0
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 0
9.0%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.5%