Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Japan hold a 221-point rating edge: roughly 33.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Japan won 6 of their last 10 games; Iceland won 1. Current form favours Japan.
Only 4 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.
Japan keep 37.5% clean sheets vs Iceland's 25.7%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.
Combined avg of 2.98 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 73%).
Both teams are major tournament winners. Japan's most recent title: 2024. Iceland's most recent title: 2022.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.
Head-to-Head Record
4 meeting(s) · 1971-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.