Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Jordan
38.9% win probability
Predicted winner
27.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.27 - 1.17
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Jordan

1502#36
AFC
VS

Costa Rica

1474#44
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

38.9% 27.3% 33.7%
JOR
CRC
28
Rating Gap
1.27
Exp. Goals JOR
1.17
Exp. Goals CRC
66.2%
JOR No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/1W

Jordan won 5 of their last 10 games; Costa Rica won 1. Current form favours Jordan.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

12.7% of Jordan's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.04 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 44%).

Tournament Pedigree 2014

Both teams are major tournament winners. Jordan's most recent title: 1999. Costa Rica's most recent title: 2014.

Rating Trajectory +25 pts

Jordan are gaining momentum recently (+25 pts). Costa Rica have moved -43 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
JOR Win
1
Draws
0
CRC Win
2
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
157
Games Played
151
43.9%
Win %
37.7%
1.59
Goals Per Game
1.29
1.05
Goals Against / Game
1.23
43.9%
Clean Sheet %
32.5%
29.9%
Failed to Score %
37.7%
13.4%
Goalless Draws %
12.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,502
Current Rating
1,474
#36
World Ranking
#44
46.7%
Win as Favourite
52.3%
27.3%
Win as Underdog
28.8%
5
Longest Win Streak
11
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1545 (2004)
Peak Rating
1573 (2002)
4W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

38.9% 27.3% 33.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 2
Friendly Tournament

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
10.2%
0 - 0
8.7%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.5%