Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Algeria
64.3% win probability
Predicted winner
22.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.63 - 1.75
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Jordan

1473#42
AFC
VS

Algeria

1568#13
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

13.0% 22.7% 64.3%
JOR
ALG
95
Rating Gap
0.63
Exp. Goals JOR
1.75
Exp. Goals ALG
35.7%
JOR No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/7W

Algeria won 7 of their last 10 games; Jordan won 4. Current form favours Algeria.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 95 pts

Algeria hold a 95-point rating edge: roughly 14.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

12.7% of Jordan's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Tournament Pedigree 2021

Both teams are major tournament winners. Jordan's most recent title: 1999. Algeria's most recent title: 2021.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.87 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2004-2026

0
JOR Win
1
Draws
1
ALG Win
2
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
159
Games Played
156
43.4%
Win %
60.3%
1.58
Goals Per Game
2.03
1.07
Goals Against / Game
0.79
43.4%
Clean Sheet %
48.1%
29.6%
Failed to Score %
14.7%
13.2%
Goalless Draws %
7.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,473
Current Rating
1,568
#42
World Ranking
#13
46.7%
Win as Favourite
53.0%
27.1%
Win as Underdog
35.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
14
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
28
1545 (2004)
Peak Rating
1604 (2022)
4W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

13.0% 22.7% 64.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 22 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
FIFA World Cup
D 30 May 04 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 2
14.1%
1 - 1
10.2%
0 - 0
9.3%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 3
8.2%