Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Iraq
96.9% win probability
Predicted winner
2.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
3.96 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
4.1
Over 2.5: 78%
Total goals

Iraq

1488#39
AFC
VS

Andorra

1252#212
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

96.9% 2.8% 0.4%
IRQ
AND
236
Rating Gap
3.96
Exp. Goals IRQ
0.15
Exp. Goals AND
99.7%
IRQ No Defeat
4.1
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 236 pts

Iraq hold a 236-point rating edge: roughly 35.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/1W

Iraq won 5 of their last 10 games; Andorra won 1. Current form favours Iraq.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 25pp

Iraq keep 40.7% clean sheets vs Andorra's 15.6%, a 25pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2025

Iraq have a major tournament title to their name; Andorra do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 4.1 xG

Combined avg of 1.86 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 4.1 (Over 2.5 probability: 78%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
IRQ Win
0
Draws
0
AND Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
156
Games Played
99
47.4%
Win %
12.1%
1.35
Goals Per Game
0.40
0.88
Goals Against / Game
1.75
42.3%
Clean Sheet %
25.3%
30.1%
Failed to Score %
69.7%
14.7%
Goalless Draws %
14.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,488
Current Rating
1,252
#39
World Ranking
#212
54.8%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
23.7%
Win as Underdog
3.2%
8
Longest Win Streak
2
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
5
1544 (2024)
Peak Rating
1291 (2022)
13W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

96.9% 2.8% 0.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 29 May 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
3 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
16.8%
5 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
6.5%
3 - 1
2.5%