Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Republic of Ireland
45.0% win probability
Predicted winner
27.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.36 - 1.00
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals
VS

Qatar

1404#101
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

45.0% 27.4% 27.6%
IRL
QAT
44
Rating Gap
1.36
Exp. Goals IRL
1.00
Exp. Goals QAT
72.4%
IRL No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/1W

Republic of Ireland won 5 of their last 10 games; Qatar won 1. Current form favours Republic of Ireland.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Qatar have a major tournament title to their name; Republic of Ireland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 27% W

Qatar have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (84W from 310). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 17 games

Republic of Ireland's longest unbeaten run is 17 games vs Qatar's 11. Republic of Ireland have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Gap 44 pts

Republic of Ireland hold a 44-point rating edge: roughly 6.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2021-2026

2
IRL Win
1
Draws
0
QAT Win
6
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
108
Games Played
176
33.3%
Win %
48.3%
1.12
Goals Per Game
1.60
1.06
Goals Against / Game
1.18
34.3%
Clean Sheet %
35.8%
36.1%
Failed to Score %
22.7%
13.0%
Goalless Draws %
5.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,447
Current Rating
1,404
#61
World Ranking
#101
57.7%
Win as Favourite
53.2%
23.9%
Win as Underdog
27.1%
8
Longest Win Streak
7
17
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1543 (2002)
Peak Rating
1563 (2019)
1W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

45.0% 27.4% 27.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 28 May 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
H 12 Oct 21 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly
D 30 Mar 21 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
9.5%
0 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.7%