Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Republic of Ireland
49.8% win probability
Predicted winner
26.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.44 - 0.90
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.3
Over 2.5: 41%
Total goals
VS

North Macedonia

1391#112
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

49.8% 26.8% 23.4%
IRL
MKD
56
Rating Gap
1.44
Exp. Goals IRL
0.90
Exp. Goals MKD
76.6%
IRL No Defeat
2.3
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/1W

Republic of Ireland won 5 of their last 10 games; North Macedonia won 1. Current form favours Republic of Ireland.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 56 pts

Republic of Ireland hold a 56-point rating edge: roughly 8.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 8% W

North Macedonia have won 8% of games entering as underdogs (3W from 36). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 17 games

Republic of Ireland's longest unbeaten run is 17 games vs North Macedonia's 10. Republic of Ireland have shown greater resilience historically.

Goal Patterns 2.3 xG

Combined avg of 2.65 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.3 (Over 2.5 probability: 41%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
IRL Win
1
Draws
0
MKD Win
0
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
108
Games Played
78
33.3%
Win %
37.2%
1.12
Goals Per Game
1.33
1.06
Goals Against / Game
1.35
34.3%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
36.1%
Failed to Score %
28.2%
13.0%
Goalless Draws %
7.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,447
Current Rating
1,391
#61
World Ranking
#112
57.7%
Win as Favourite
61.9%
23.9%
Win as Underdog
8.3%
8
Longest Win Streak
6
17
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1543 (2002)
Peak Rating
1438 (2020)
1W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

49.8% 26.8% 23.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 31 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.0%
0 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.0%
0 - 1
8.6%