Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Republic of Ireland
73.0% win probability
Predicted winner
17.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.18 - 0.64
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals
VS

Grenada

1342#155
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

73.0% 17.6% 9.4%
IRL
GRN
105
Rating Gap
2.18
Exp. Goals IRL
0.64
Exp. Goals GRN
90.6%
IRL No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 105 pts

Republic of Ireland hold a 105-point rating edge: roughly 15.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 17pp

Republic of Ireland keep 37.2% clean sheets vs Grenada's 20.2%, a 17pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 5W/6W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Republic of Ireland 5/10, Grenada 6/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2017

Grenada have a major tournament title to their name; Republic of Ireland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 2.93 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
IRL Win
0
Draws
0
GRN Win
5
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
108
Games Played
101
33.3%
Win %
30.7%
1.12
Goals Per Game
1.35
1.06
Goals Against / Game
2.12
34.3%
Clean Sheet %
22.8%
36.1%
Failed to Score %
34.7%
13.0%
Goalless Draws %
6.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,447
Current Rating
1,342
#61
World Ranking
#155
57.7%
Win as Favourite
45.5%
23.9%
Win as Underdog
23.1%
8
Longest Win Streak
6
17
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1543 (2002)
Peak Rating
1463 (1971)
1W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

73.0% 17.6% 9.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 16 May 26 AWAY
5 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
6.6%