Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Jamaica
79.1% win probability
Predicted winner
15.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.41 - 2.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

India

1340#158
AFC
VS

Jamaica

1472#45
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

5.4% 15.4% 79.1%
IND
JAM
132
Rating Gap
0.41
Exp. Goals IND
2.22
Exp. Goals JAM
20.8%
IND No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 2W/5W

Jamaica won 5 of their last 10 games; India won 2. Current form favours Jamaica.

Rating Gap 132 pts

Jamaica hold a 132-point rating edge: roughly 19.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Both teams are major tournament winners. India's most recent title: 2023. Jamaica's most recent title: 2014.

Underdog Record 22% W

India have won 22% of games entering as underdogs (58W from 265). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 23 games

Jamaica's longest unbeaten run is 23 games vs India's 13. Jamaica have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2002-2026

0
IND Win
1
Draws
2
JAM Win
0
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
121
Games Played
160
34.7%
Win %
44.4%
1.22
Goals Per Game
1.56
1.16
Goals Against / Game
1.16
34.7%
Clean Sheet %
33.8%
32.2%
Failed to Score %
24.4%
11.6%
Goalless Draws %
5.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,340
Current Rating
1,472
#158
World Ranking
#45
50.2%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
21.9%
Win as Underdog
23.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
7
13
Longest Unbeaten Run
23
1464 (2018)
Peak Rating
1530 (2011)
4W-7L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

5.4% 15.4% 79.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 27 May 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly Tournament
D 01 Sep 02 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Friendly
H 29 Aug 02 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
17.8%
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 3
13.2%
0 - 4
7.3%
1 - 2
7.3%
0 - 0
7.2%