Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Honduras
75.7% win probability
Predicted winner
16.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.52 - 2.18
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

India

1340#158
AFC
VS

Honduras

1459#52
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

7.5% 16.8% 75.7%
IND
HON
119
Rating Gap
0.52
Exp. Goals IND
2.18
Exp. Goals HON
24.3%
IND No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

First Meeting 0 games

India and Honduras have never faced each other. The prediction relies entirely on current ratings.

Rating Gap 119 pts

Honduras hold a 119-point rating edge: roughly 17.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Both teams are major tournament winners. India's most recent title: 2023. Honduras's most recent title: 2017.

Underdog Record 22% W

India have won 22% of games entering as underdogs (57W from 264). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 2.81 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

When Favourite 50% W

Honduras win 50% of games when entering as the favoured side (185W from 372). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

No previous meetings between these teams

No previous meetings between these teams

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
121
Games Played
142
34.7%
Win %
36.6%
1.22
Goals Per Game
1.25
1.16
Goals Against / Game
1.26
34.7%
Clean Sheet %
34.5%
32.2%
Failed to Score %
35.2%
11.6%
Goalless Draws %
11.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,340
Current Rating
1,459
#158
World Ranking
#52
50.3%
Win as Favourite
49.7%
21.6%
Win as Underdog
27.0%
9
Longest Win Streak
7
13
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1464 (2018)
Peak Rating
1543 (2000)
4W-7L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

7.5% 16.8% 75.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
15.9%
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 3
11.6%
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
0 - 0
6.7%