Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Oman
41.8% win probability
Predicted winner
26.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.18 - 1.39
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Indonesia

1409#96
AFC
VS

Oman

1441#63
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

31.8% 26.4% 41.8%
IDN
OMA
32
Rating Gap
1.18
Exp. Goals IDN
1.39
Exp. Goals OMA
58.2%
IDN No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/3W

Indonesia won 5 of their last 10 games; Oman won 3. Current form favours Indonesia.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 3.00 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

Tournament Pedigree 2017

Both teams are major tournament winners. Indonesia's most recent title: 1991. Oman's most recent title: 2017.

Underdog Record 19% W

Indonesia have won 19% of games entering as underdogs (72W from 378). A strong record against the odds.

Rating Gap 32 pts

Oman hold a 32-point rating edge: roughly 4.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

When Favourite 58% W

Oman win 58% of games when entering as the favoured side (158W from 274). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

6 meeting(s) · 1988-2026

2
IDN Win
1
Draws
3
OMA Win
8
Goals For
6
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
123
Games Played
150
39.0%
Win %
50.7%
1.62
Goals Per Game
1.44
1.64
Goals Against / Game
0.90
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
42.7%
32.5%
Failed to Score %
26.0%
8.9%
Goalless Draws %
9.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,409
Current Rating
1,441
#96
World Ranking
#63
61.5%
Win as Favourite
57.7%
19.0%
Win as Underdog
19.9%
10
Longest Win Streak
7
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1498 (1969)
Peak Rating
1520 (2005)
10W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

31.8% 26.4% 41.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 05 Jun 26 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly Tournament
A 29 May 21 NEUTRAL
1 - 3
Friendly
A 06 Jan 10 AWAY
1 - 2
AFC Asian Cup
D 19 Jan 09 AWAY
0 - 0
AFC Asian Cup
A 24 Jun 07 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
A 18 Jan 88 NEUTRAL
0 - 3
King's Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 0
7.7%
0 - 2
7.4%