Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Hungary
43.2% win probability
Predicted winner
25.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.47 - 1.21
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Hungary

1434#68
UEFA
VS

Slovenia

1412#93
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

43.2% 25.7% 31.1%
HUN
SVN
22
Rating Gap
1.47
Exp. Goals HUN
1.21
Exp. Goals SVN
68.9%
HUN No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/1W

Hungary won 5 of their last 10 games; Slovenia won 1. Current form favours Hungary.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.22 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Tournament Pedigree 1947

Hungary have a major tournament title to their name; Slovenia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Unbeaten Run 26 games

Hungary's longest unbeaten run is 26 games vs Slovenia's 12. Hungary have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Trajectory +15 pts

Hungary are gaining momentum recently (+15 pts). Slovenia have moved -40 pts in the same window.

Rating Gap 22 pts

Hungary hold a 22-point rating edge: roughly 3.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

5 meeting(s) · 1994-2026

2
HUN Win
0
Draws
3
SVN Win
4
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
111
Games Played
105
41.4%
Win %
38.1%
1.31
Goals Per Game
1.24
1.27
Goals Against / Game
0.94
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
40.0%
27.9%
Failed to Score %
29.5%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
12.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,434
Current Rating
1,412
#68
World Ranking
#93
58.0%
Win as Favourite
59.2%
29.5%
Win as Underdog
20.1%
9
Longest Win Streak
4
26
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1582 (1955)
Peak Rating
1500 (1991)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

43.2% 25.7% 31.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 28 Mar 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
A 26 Mar 08 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
H 20 Aug 03 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Aug 98 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
A 06 Apr 94 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
0 - 1
8.3%
2 - 0
7.4%
1 - 2
7.4%