Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Hungary
71.2% win probability
Predicted winner
17.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.23 - 0.75
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Hungary

1434#68
UEFA
VS

Kazakhstan

1347#151
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

71.2% 17.8% 11.0%
HUN
KAZ
87
Rating Gap
2.23
Exp. Goals HUN
0.75
Exp. Goals KAZ
89.0%
HUN No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 87 pts

Hungary hold a 87-point rating edge: roughly 13.1% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/3W

Hungary won 5 of their last 10 games; Kazakhstan won 3. Current form favours Hungary.

Tournament Pedigree 1947

Hungary have a major tournament title to their name; Kazakhstan do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 3.02 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 57%).

Underdog Record 17% W

Kazakhstan have won 17% of games entering as underdogs (32W from 192). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2014-2026

2
HUN Win
0
Draws
1
KAZ Win
8
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
111
Games Played
98
41.4%
Win %
28.6%
1.31
Goals Per Game
1.02
1.27
Goals Against / Game
1.69
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
24.5%
27.9%
Failed to Score %
35.7%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
4.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,434
Current Rating
1,347
#68
World Ranking
#151
58.0%
Win as Favourite
46.7%
29.5%
Win as Underdog
16.7%
9
Longest Win Streak
4
26
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1582 (1955)
Peak Rating
1539 (1992)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

71.2% 17.8% 11.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 09 Jun 26 AWAY
3 - 1
Friendly
A 23 Mar 18 AWAY
2 - 3
Friendly
H 07 Jun 14 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
3 - 0
9.4%
1 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
7.0%