Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Hungary
38.7% win probability
Predicted winner
25.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.39 - 1.33
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Hungary

1434#68
UEFA
VS

Greece

1445#62
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

38.7% 25.7% 35.6%
HUN
GRE
11
Rating Gap
1.39
Exp. Goals HUN
1.33
Exp. Goals GRE
64.4%
HUN No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/2W

Hungary won 5 of their last 10 games; Greece won 2. Current form favours Hungary.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.24 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Tournament Pedigree 2002

Both teams are major tournament winners. Hungary's most recent title: 1947. Greece's most recent title: 2002.

Unbeaten Run 26 games

Hungary's longest unbeaten run is 26 games vs Greece's 17. Hungary have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Trajectory +15 pts

Hungary are gaining momentum recently (+15 pts). Greece have moved -65 pts in the same window.

Penalty Shootouts 0% PSO

Shootout record: Hungary: 0W-1L; Greece: 0W-3L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

23 meeting(s) · 2005-2026

6
HUN Win
7
Draws
10
GRE Win
37
Goals For
33
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
111
Games Played
102
41.4%
Win %
46.1%
1.31
Goals Per Game
1.36
1.27
Goals Against / Game
0.96
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
38.2%
27.9%
Failed to Score %
30.4%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
9.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,434
Current Rating
1,445
#68
World Ranking
#62
58.0%
Win as Favourite
54.6%
29.5%
Win as Underdog
24.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
7
26
Longest Unbeaten Run
17
1582 (1955)
Peak Rating
1516 (2005)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

38.7% 25.7% 35.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 31 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
H 20 Nov 22 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
H 12 Oct 18 AWAY
1 - 0
UEFA Nations League
H 11 Sep 18 AWAY
2 - 1
UEFA Nations League
H 11 Oct 15 AWAY
4 - 3
UEFA European Championship
D 29 Mar 15 AWAY
0 - 0
UEFA European Championship
H 24 May 08 AWAY
3 - 2
Friendly
A 21 Nov 07 AWAY
1 - 2
UEFA European Championship
H 02 Jun 07 AWAY
2 - 0
UEFA European Championship
H 16 Nov 05 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.2%
0 - 1
8.7%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.1%
0 - 0
6.6%