Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Tunisia
39.4% win probability
Predicted winner
26.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.21 - 1.33
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Haiti

1466#50
CONCACAF
VS

Tunisia

1479#41
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

33.9% 26.7% 39.4%
HAI
TUN
14
Rating Gap
1.21
Exp. Goals HAI
1.33
Exp. Goals TUN
60.6%
HAI No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 4W/3W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Haiti 4/10, Tunisia 3/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.09 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Both teams are major tournament winners. Haiti's most recent title: 2006. Tunisia's most recent title: 2010.

Unbeaten Run 21 games

Haiti's longest unbeaten run is 21 games vs Tunisia's 12. Haiti have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 59% PSO

Shootout record: Haiti: 1W-1L; Tunisia: 10W-7L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
HAI Win
0
Draws
1
TUN Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
110
Games Played
145
50.0%
Win %
51.0%
2.21
Goals Per Game
1.39
1.35
Goals Against / Game
0.81
30.0%
Clean Sheet %
47.6%
21.8%
Failed to Score %
31.0%
5.5%
Goalless Draws %
11.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,466
Current Rating
1,479
#50
World Ranking
#41
53.1%
Win as Favourite
50.6%
25.0%
Win as Underdog
31.2%
10
Longest Win Streak
7
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1517 (2025)
Peak Rating
1553 (2022)
1W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

33.9% 26.7% 39.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 29 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 0
9.6%
1 - 2
8.4%
0 - 0
7.9%
2 - 1
7.7%