Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Scotland
40.2% win probability
Predicted winner
25.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.30 - 1.43
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Haiti

1466#50
CONCACAF
VS

Scotland

1481#40
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

34.3% 25.5% 40.2%
HAI
SCO
16
Rating Gap
1.30
Exp. Goals HAI
1.43
Exp. Goals SCO
59.8%
HAI No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/7W

Scotland won 7 of their last 10 games; Haiti won 4. Current form favours Scotland.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.37 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Win Streak 3 games

Scotland are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Both teams are major tournament winners. Haiti's most recent title: 2006. Scotland's most recent title: 1981.

Rating Trajectory +45 pts

Scotland are gaining momentum recently (+45 pts). Haiti have moved -3 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
HAI Win
0
Draws
1
SCO Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
110
Games Played
107
50.0%
Win %
44.9%
2.21
Goals Per Game
1.41
1.35
Goals Against / Game
1.28
30.0%
Clean Sheet %
35.5%
21.8%
Failed to Score %
28.0%
5.5%
Goalless Draws %
4.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,466
Current Rating
1,481
#50
World Ranking
#40
53.1%
Win as Favourite
61.1%
25.0%
Win as Underdog
28.3%
10
Longest Win Streak
13
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1517 (2025)
Peak Rating
1510 (1977)
1W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

34.3% 25.5% 40.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 13 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 0
8.4%
2 - 1
7.9%
0 - 2
6.7%