Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

New Zealand
37.8% win probability
Predicted winner
25.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.37 - 1.39
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Haiti

1466#50
CONCACAF
VS

New Zealand

1465#51
OFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

36.7% 25.5% 37.8%
HAI
NZL
0
Rating Gap
1.37
Exp. Goals HAI
1.39
Exp. Goals NZL
62.2%
HAI No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/1W

Haiti won 4 of their last 10 games; New Zealand won 1. Current form favours Haiti.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.40 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Haiti's most recent title: 2006. New Zealand's most recent title: 2024.

Unbeaten Run 21 games

Haiti's longest unbeaten run is 21 games vs New Zealand's 13. Haiti have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Trajectory -3 pts

Haiti are gaining momentum recently (-3 pts). New Zealand have moved -63 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
HAI Win
0
Draws
0
NZL Win
4
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
110
Games Played
82
50.0%
Win %
43.9%
2.21
Goals Per Game
1.60
1.35
Goals Against / Game
0.95
30.0%
Clean Sheet %
42.7%
21.8%
Failed to Score %
36.6%
5.5%
Goalless Draws %
9.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,466
Current Rating
1,465
#50
World Ranking
#51
53.1%
Win as Favourite
56.9%
25.0%
Win as Underdog
26.3%
10
Longest Win Streak
7
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1517 (2025)
Peak Rating
1549 (2025)
1W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

36.7% 25.5% 37.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 02 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
8.2%
0 - 0
6.3%