Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Guyana
77.8% win probability
Predicted winner
15.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.39 - 0.57
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Guyana

1429#71
CONCACAF
VS

Dominica

1310#180
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

77.8% 15.1% 7.1%
GUY
DMA
119
Rating Gap
2.39
Exp. Goals GUY
0.57
Exp. Goals DMA
92.9%
GUY No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 8W/1W

Guyana won 8 of their last 10 games; Dominica won 1. Current form favours Guyana.

H2H Dominance 5W-0W

Guyana hold the historical edge: 5W-1D-0L across 6 meetings.

Win Streak 5 games

Guyana are currently on a 5-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Rating Gap 119 pts

Guyana hold a 119-point rating edge: roughly 17.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 1988

Dominica have a major tournament title to their name; Guyana do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 17% W

Dominica have won 17% of games entering as underdogs (32W from 186). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

6 meeting(s) · 2001-2026

5
GUY Win
1
Draws
0
DMA Win
13
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
94
Games Played
71
43.6%
Win %
26.8%
2.03
Goals Per Game
1.18
1.74
Goals Against / Game
1.79
23.4%
Clean Sheet %
31.0%
23.4%
Failed to Score %
38.0%
4.3%
Goalless Draws %
12.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,429
Current Rating
1,310
#71
World Ranking
#180
53.2%
Win as Favourite
39.3%
20.8%
Win as Underdog
17.2%
13
Longest Win Streak
5
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1471 (2011)
Peak Rating
1402 (1998)
1W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

77.8% 15.1% 7.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 0
CONCACAF Series
D 03 Sep 14 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
CONCACAF Gold Cup
H 08 Aug 08 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
CFU Caribbean Cup
H 02 Oct 05 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 30 Sep 05 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 06 Apr 01 AWAY
2 - 0
CFU Caribbean Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 1
7.1%
4 - 0
7.0%