Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Myanmar
45.6% win probability
Predicted winner
24.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.27 - 1.62
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Guam

1310#182
AFC
VS

Myanmar

1335#161
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

30.0% 24.4% 45.6%
GUM
MYA
25
Rating Gap
1.27
Exp. Goals GUM
1.62
Exp. Goals MYA
54.4%
GUM No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 2W/5W

Myanmar won 5 of their last 10 games; Guam won 2. Current form favours Myanmar.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 8pp

Myanmar keep 22.8% clean sheets vs Guam's 14.6%, a 8pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Myanmar have a major tournament title to their name; Guam do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 2.51 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

Rating Gap 25 pts

Myanmar hold a 25-point rating edge: roughly 3.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2013-2026

0
GUM Win
0
Draws
2
MYA Win
1
Goals For
11
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
46
Games Played
108
15.2%
Win %
25.9%
0.96
Goals Per Game
1.04
2.61
Goals Against / Game
2.49
10.9%
Clean Sheet %
20.4%
54.3%
Failed to Score %
45.4%
0.0%
Goalless Draws %
8.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,310
Current Rating
1,335
#182
World Ranking
#161
46.9%
Win as Favourite
63.7%
14.3%
Win as Underdog
15.9%
3
Longest Win Streak
6
4
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1370 (2015)
Peak Rating
1414 (2010)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

30.0% 24.4% 45.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 6
Friendly Tournament
H 02 Mar 13 AWAY
5 - 0
AFC Challenge Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.3%
2 - 1
7.3%
1 - 0
7.1%