Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Paraguay
36.8% win probability
Predicted winner
27.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.20 - 1.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals

Greece

1445#61
UEFA
VS

Paraguay

1456#54
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

35.7% 27.6% 36.8%
GRE
PAR
12
Rating Gap
1.20
Exp. Goals GRE
1.22
Exp. Goals PAR
63.3%
GRE No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 2W/4W

Paraguay won 4 of their last 10 games; Greece won 2. Current form favours Paraguay.

Tournament Pedigree 2002

Both teams are major tournament winners. Greece's most recent title: 2002. Paraguay's most recent title: 1979.

Rating Trajectory +8 pts

Paraguay are gaining momentum recently (+8 pts). Greece have moved -65 pts in the same window.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.54 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: Greece: 0W-3L; Paraguay: 7W-7L. Edge goes to Paraguay if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2010-2026

0
GRE Win
0
Draws
2
PAR Win
0
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
102
Games Played
104
46.1%
Win %
26.9%
1.36
Goals Per Game
0.91
0.96
Goals Against / Game
1.30
38.2%
Clean Sheet %
30.8%
30.4%
Failed to Score %
44.2%
9.8%
Goalless Draws %
13.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,445
Current Rating
1,456
#61
World Ranking
#54
54.6%
Win as Favourite
52.5%
24.8%
Win as Underdog
24.4%
7
Longest Win Streak
8
17
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1516 (2005)
Peak Rating
1519 (1997)
0W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

35.7% 27.6% 36.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 27 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
A 02 Jun 10 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 0
8.9%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
7.8%