Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Panama
38.6% win probability
Predicted winner
27.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.19 - 1.28
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

Ghana

1441#65
CAF
VS

Panama

1487#36
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

34.2% 27.2% 38.6%
GHA
PAN
47
Rating Gap
1.19
Exp. Goals GHA
1.28
Exp. Goals PAN
61.4%
GHA No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Underdog Record 33% W

Ghana have won 33% of games entering as underdogs (72W from 219). A strong record against the odds.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Ghana keep 37.5% clean sheets vs Panama's 28.6%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2009

Both teams are major tournament winners. Ghana's most recent title: 1987. Panama's most recent title: 2009.

Unbeaten Run 22 games

Ghana's longest unbeaten run is 22 games vs Panama's 13. Ghana have shown greater resilience historically.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.80 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
GHA Win
0
Draws
0
PAN Win
1
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
124
Games Played
176
36.3%
Win %
41.5%
1.21
Goals Per Game
1.38
1.03
Goals Against / Game
1.29
36.3%
Clean Sheet %
33.0%
34.7%
Failed to Score %
33.5%
12.1%
Goalless Draws %
8.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,441
Current Rating
1,487
#65
World Ranking
#36
51.6%
Win as Favourite
52.1%
32.9%
Win as Underdog
23.2%
10
Longest Win Streak
5
22
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1542 (2008)
Peak Rating
1536 (2025)
7W-12L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

34.2% 27.2% 38.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 17 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.1%
0 - 0
8.5%
1 - 2
8.2%
2 - 1
7.6%