Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Bahrain
36.7% win probability
Predicted winner
27.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.21 - 1.23
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Georgia

1419#87
UEFA
VS

Bahrain

1403#103
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

35.8% 27.4% 36.7%
GEO
BHR
16
Rating Gap
1.21
Exp. Goals GEO
1.23
Exp. Goals BHR
63.2%
GEO No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Georgia 3/10, Bahrain 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Bahrain have a major tournament title to their name; Georgia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.48 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 44%).

Penalty Shootouts 83% PSO

Shootout record: Georgia: 1W-1L; Bahrain: 5W-1L. Edge goes to Bahrain if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Gap 16 pts

Georgia hold a 16-point rating edge: roughly 2.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
GEO Win
0
Draws
0
BHR Win
2
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
106
Games Played
148
38.7%
Win %
45.3%
1.47
Goals Per Game
1.43
1.25
Goals Against / Game
0.96
34.0%
Clean Sheet %
43.9%
24.5%
Failed to Score %
31.1%
5.7%
Goalless Draws %
11.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,419
Current Rating
1,403
#87
World Ranking
#103
55.5%
Win as Favourite
49.5%
19.8%
Win as Underdog
24.0%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1511 (1990)
Peak Rating
1513 (2010)
1W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

35.8% 27.4% 36.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 05 Jun 26 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.6%
0 - 0
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.8%