Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Gabon
37.3% win probability
Predicted winner
27.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.24 - 1.20
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Gabon

1403#104
CAF
VS

Trinidad & Tobago

1378#124
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

37.3% 27.4% 35.3%
GAB
TRI
25
Rating Gap
1.24
Exp. Goals GAB
1.20
Exp. Goals TRI
64.7%
GAB No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Gabon won 3 of their last 10 games; Trinidad & Tobago won 1. Current form favours Gabon.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Both teams are major tournament winners. Gabon's most recent title: 1999. Trinidad & Tobago's most recent title: 2001.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.85 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 44%).

Penalty Shootouts 60% PSO

Shootout record: Gabon: 8W-11L; Trinidad & Tobago: 6W-4L. Edge goes to Trinidad & Tobago if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Gap 25 pts

Gabon hold a 25-point rating edge: roughly 3.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
GAB Win
1
Draws
0
TRI Win
2
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
91
Games Played
142
33.0%
Win %
31.0%
1.12
Goals Per Game
1.46
1.22
Goals Against / Game
1.68
34.1%
Clean Sheet %
25.4%
31.9%
Failed to Score %
34.5%
15.4%
Goalless Draws %
6.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,403
Current Rating
1,378
#104
World Ranking
#124
45.6%
Win as Favourite
51.1%
25.5%
Win as Underdog
26.3%
4
Longest Win Streak
8
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1467 (2012)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
8W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

37.3% 27.4% 35.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 30 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 2
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 1
10.5%
0 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 2
7.8%