Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Côte d'Ivoire won 7 of their last 10 games; Gabon won 3. Current form favours Côte d'Ivoire.
Côte d'Ivoire hold the historical edge: 8W-3D-3L across 14 meetings.
Côte d'Ivoire hold a 142-point rating edge: roughly 21.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Côte d'Ivoire keep 43.7% clean sheets vs Gabon's 35.2%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.
Gabon have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.
Gabon have won 26% of games entering as underdogs (63W from 247). A strong record against the odds.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.
Head-to-Head Record
14 meeting(s) · 2006-2025
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.