Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

France
37.9% win probability
Predicted winner
27.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.24 - 1.17
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals

France

1594#5
UEFA
VS

Senegal

1591#6
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

37.9% 27.6% 34.5%
FRA
SEN
2
Rating Gap
1.24
Exp. Goals FRA
1.17
Exp. Goals SEN
65.5%
FRA No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Win Streak 7 games

Senegal are currently on a 7-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.18 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

Recent Form 8W/9W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: France 8/10, Senegal 9/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2022

Both teams are major tournament winners. France's most recent title: 2020. Senegal's most recent title: 2022.

Unbeaten Run 30 games

France's longest unbeaten run is 30 games vs Senegal's 24. France have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2002-2002

0
FRA Win
0
Draws
1
SEN Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
134
Games Played
162
67.2%
Win %
61.1%
2.13
Goals Per Game
1.60
0.87
Goals Against / Game
0.62
43.3%
Clean Sheet %
54.3%
15.7%
Failed to Score %
17.9%
8.2%
Goalless Draws %
9.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,594
Current Rating
1,591
#5
World Ranking
#6
59.6%
Win as Favourite
55.9%
33.7%
Win as Underdog
27.8%
14
Longest Win Streak
10
30
Longest Unbeaten Run
24
1651 (2018)
Peak Rating
1595 (2026)
4W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
15W-13L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

37.9% 27.6% 34.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 31 May 02 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.2%
0 - 1
10.5%
0 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.6%