Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

France
90.4% win probability
Predicted winner
8.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.69 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

France

1585#5
UEFA
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

90.4% 8.5% 1.1%
FRA
IVC
172
Rating Gap
2.69
Exp. Goals FRA
0.15
Exp. Goals IVC
98.9%
FRA No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 172 pts

France hold a 172-point rating edge: roughly 25.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 35% W

Ivory Coast have won 35% of games entering as underdogs (28W from 81). A strong record against the odds.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.45 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

Recent Form 8W/6W

France won 8 of their last 10 games; Ivory Coast won 6. Current form favours France.

Tournament Pedigree 2022

Both teams are major tournament winners. France's most recent title: 2020. Ivory Coast's most recent title: 2022.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
FRA Win
0
Draws
1
IVC Win
1
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
136
Games Played
2
66.9%
Win %
100.0%
2.13
Goals Per Game
1.50
0.88
Goals Against / Game
0.50
42.6%
Clean Sheet %
50.0%
15.4%
Failed to Score %
0.0%
8.1%
Goalless Draws %
0.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,585
Current Rating
1,413
#5
World Ranking
-
59.6%
Win as Favourite
52.0%
33.7%
Win as Underdog
34.6%
14
Longest Win Streak
7
30
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1651 (2018)
Peak Rating
1491 (1985)
4W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

90.4% 8.5% 1.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 04 Jun 26 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
21.2%
3 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
15.8%
4 - 0
12.7%
5 - 0
6.8%
0 - 0
5.9%