Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

France
51.9% win probability
Predicted winner
25.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.54 - 0.92
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 45%
Total goals

France

1611#4
UEFA
VS

Côte d'Ivoire

1545#17
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

51.9% 25.6% 22.5%
FRA
CIV
66
Rating Gap
1.54
Exp. Goals FRA
0.92
Exp. Goals CIV
77.5%
FRA No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Underdog Record 39% W

Côte d'Ivoire have won 39% of games entering as underdogs (33W from 85). A strong record against the odds.

Limited H2H Data 4 games

Only 4 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 3.39 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 45%).

Recent Form 8W/7W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: France 8/10, Côte d'Ivoire 7/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2020

France have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Win Streak 3 games

France are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

4 meeting(s) · 2005-2026

2
FRA Win
1
Draws
1
CIV Win
6
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
138
Games Played
145
67.4%
Win %
51.7%
2.14
Goals Per Game
1.49
0.87
Goals Against / Game
0.82
42.8%
Clean Sheet %
42.8%
15.2%
Failed to Score %
29.7%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
13.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,611
Current Rating
1,545
#4
World Ranking
#17
59.7%
Win as Favourite
54.3%
33.7%
Win as Underdog
38.8%
14
Longest Win Streak
7
30
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1651 (2018)
Peak Rating
1583 (2013)
4W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
11W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

51.9% 25.6% 22.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 04 Jun 26 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly
H 25 Mar 22 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
D 15 Nov 16 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
H 17 Aug 05 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
0 - 0
8.5%
0 - 1
7.8%