Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Fiji hold the historical edge: 20W-8D-10L across 38 meetings.
Combined avg of 4.03 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.1 (Over 2.5 probability: 60%).
Fiji keep 32.0% clean sheets vs Vanuatu's 22.7%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.
Vanuatu won 3 of their last 10 games; Fiji won 1. Current form favours Vanuatu.
Both teams are major tournament winners. Fiji's most recent title: 2003. Vanuatu's most recent title: 2025.
Vanuatu are gaining momentum recently (+30 pts). Fiji have moved -76 pts in the same window.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
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Head-to-Head Record
38 meeting(s) · 2019-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.