Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Ethiopia won 5 of their last 10 games; Malawi won 2. Current form favours Ethiopia.
The 16-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 4W for Ethiopia, 4W for Malawi, 8 draws. Never count either side out.
Both teams are major tournament winners. Ethiopia's most recent title: 2005. Malawi's most recent title: 1988.
Combined avg of 2.49 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).
Shootout record: Ethiopia: 9W-3L; Malawi: 7W-17L. Edge goes to Ethiopia if this match reaches penalties.
Ethiopia are gaining momentum recently (+49 pts). Malawi have moved +1 pts in the same window.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.
Head-to-Head Record
16 meeting(s) · 2010-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.