Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Equatorial Guinea
37.6% win probability
Predicted winner
28.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.21 - 1.14
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.3
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Equatorial Guinea

1382#119
CAF
VS

Comoros

1373#130
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

37.6% 28.0% 34.4%
EQG
COM
9
Rating Gap
1.21
Exp. Goals EQG
1.14
Exp. Goals COM
65.6%
EQG No Defeat
2.3
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.3 xG

Combined avg of 1.78 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.3 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

Recent Form 2W/1W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Equatorial Guinea 2/10, Comoros 1/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Unbeaten Run 13 games

Equatorial Guinea's longest unbeaten run is 13 games vs Comoros's 7. Equatorial Guinea have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: Equatorial Guinea: 1W-4L; Comoros: 1W-1L. Edge goes to Comoros if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Gap 9 pts

Equatorial Guinea hold a 9-point rating edge: roughly 1.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
EQG Win
0
Draws
1
COM Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
90
Games Played
118
34.4%
Win %
33.1%
1.02
Goals Per Game
1.05
1.12
Goals Against / Game
1.25
32.2%
Clean Sheet %
31.4%
34.4%
Failed to Score %
34.7%
6.7%
Goalless Draws %
8.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,382
Current Rating
1,373
#119
World Ranking
#130
44.8%
Win as Favourite
39.2%
20.7%
Win as Underdog
18.9%
3
Longest Win Streak
4
13
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1465 (2024)
Peak Rating
1420 (2024)
1W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

37.6% 28.0% 34.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 09 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
10.9%
0 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.5%