Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

England
76.0% win probability
Predicted winner
16.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.20 - 0.52
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

England

1625#4
UEFA
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

76.0% 16.7% 7.4%
ENG
COD
110
Rating Gap
2.20
Exp. Goals ENG
0.52
Exp. Goals COD
92.7%
ENG No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 7W/4W

England won 7 of their last 10 games; Congo Democratic Republic won 4. Current form favours England.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 110 pts

England hold a 110-point rating edge: roughly 16.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.50 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Clean Sheet Rate 10pp

England keep 41.7% clean sheets vs Congo Democratic Republic's 32.0%, a 10pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Win Streak 3 games

England are currently on a 3-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
ENG Win
0
Draws
0
COD Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
137
Games Played
141
63.5%
Win %
42.6%
2.08
Goals Per Game
1.33
0.69
Goals Against / Game
0.90
53.3%
Clean Sheet %
36.9%
16.8%
Failed to Score %
25.5%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
8.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,625
Current Rating
1,516
#4
World Ranking
#26
62.2%
Win as Favourite
51.3%
35.7%
Win as Underdog
21.4%
10
Longest Win Streak
5
22
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1625 (2026)
Peak Rating
1529 (2026)
4W-8L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

76.0% 16.7% 7.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 01 Jul 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
11.6%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.6%
0 - 0
6.6%