Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Russia
36.4% win probability
Predicted winner
27.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.20 - 1.21
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 43%
Total goals

Egypt

1517#29
CAF
VS

Russia

1512#34
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

36.0% 27.6% 36.4%
EGY
RUS
5
Rating Gap
1.20
Exp. Goals EGY
1.21
Exp. Goals RUS
63.6%
EGY No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.44 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 43%).

Recent Form 5W/6W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Egypt 5/10, Russia 6/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2008

Egypt have a major tournament title to their name; Russia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Penalty Shootouts 54% PSO

Shootout record: Egypt: 13W-11L; Russia: 2W-3L. Edge goes to Egypt if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Trajectory +20 pts

Egypt are gaining momentum recently (+20 pts). Russia have moved -2 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

1
EGY Win
0
Draws
1
RUS Win
2
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
135
Games Played
100
54.1%
Win %
48.0%
1.42
Goals Per Game
1.98
0.74
Goals Against / Game
1.07
50.4%
Clean Sheet %
42.0%
20.0%
Failed to Score %
23.0%
8.1%
Goalless Draws %
9.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,517
Current Rating
1,512
#29
World Ranking
#34
57.0%
Win as Favourite
60.1%
29.5%
Win as Underdog
28.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
12
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
23
1600 (2010)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
13W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

36.0% 27.6% 36.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 28 May 26 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
H 19 Jun 18 AWAY
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 0
8.9%
1 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
7.8%