Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Côte d'Ivoire
37.0% win probability
Predicted winner
28.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.15 - 1.19
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.3
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Egypt

1533#22
CAF
VS

Côte d'Ivoire

1545#19
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

34.9% 28.1% 37.0%
EGY
CIV
12
Rating Gap
1.15
Exp. Goals EGY
1.19
Exp. Goals CIV
63.0%
EGY No Defeat
2.3
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/7W

Côte d'Ivoire won 7 of their last 10 games; Egypt won 4. Current form favours Côte d'Ivoire.

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 19-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 6W for Egypt, 6W for Côte d'Ivoire, 7 draws. Never count either side out.

Goal Patterns 2.3 xG

Combined avg of 3.24 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.3 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

Tournament Pedigree 2008

Egypt have a major tournament title to their name; Côte d'Ivoire do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Unbeaten Run 26 games

Côte d'Ivoire's longest unbeaten run is 26 games vs Egypt's 19. Côte d'Ivoire have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 58% PSO

Shootout record: Egypt: 13W-11L; Côte d'Ivoire: 11W-8L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

19 meeting(s) · 2001-2026

6
EGY Win
7
Draws
6
CIV Win
23
Goals For
24
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
138
Games Played
145
53.6%
Win %
51.7%
1.43
Goals Per Game
1.49
0.75
Goals Against / Game
0.82
49.3%
Clean Sheet %
42.8%
19.6%
Failed to Score %
29.7%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
13.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,533
Current Rating
1,545
#22
World Ranking
#19
57.0%
Win as Favourite
54.3%
29.8%
Win as Underdog
38.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
7
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1600 (2010)
Peak Rating
1583 (2013)
13W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
11W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

34.9% 28.1% 37.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 10 Jan 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 2
Africa Cup of Nations
D 26 Jan 22 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations
H 14 Jan 13 NEUTRAL
4 - 2
Friendly
A 07 Feb 08 NEUTRAL
1 - 4
Africa Cup of Nations
D 22 Aug 07 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Friendly
D 10 Feb 06 AWAY
0 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations
H 28 Jan 06 AWAY
3 - 1
Africa Cup of Nations
H 19 Jun 05 AWAY
2 - 0
FIFA World Cup
A 20 Jun 04 AWAY
1 - 2
FIFA World Cup
D 17 Jun 01 AWAY
2 - 2
Africa Cup of Nations

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 0
9.6%
1 - 2
7.8%
2 - 1
7.6%