Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFStats Rating model · logistic expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Egypt hold the historical edge — 4W-1D-0L across 5 meetings.
Egypt hold a 113-point rating edge — roughly 17.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Egypt keep 44.2% clean sheets vs Benin's 23.6% — a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.
Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Egypt 6/10, Benin 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.
Egypt have a major tournament title to their name; Benin do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.
Benin have won 16% of games entering as underdogs (38W from 232). A strong record against the odds.
Head-to-Head Record
5 meeting(s) · 2004–2026
Comparative Profile
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
Egypt
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BeninEgypt
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