Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Ecuador hold the historical edge: 6W-3D-1L across 10 meetings.
Ecuador hold a 87-point rating edge: roughly 13.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Ecuador won 4 of their last 10 games; Guatemala won 2. Current form favours Ecuador.
Both teams are major tournament winners. Ecuador's most recent title: 1965. Guatemala's most recent title: 2001.
Guatemala have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (70W from 308). A strong record against the odds.
Ecuador's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Guatemala's 13. Ecuador have shown greater resilience historically.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
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Head-to-Head Record
10 meeting(s) · 1984-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.