Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Denmark
76.1% win probability
Predicted winner
16.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.21 - 0.53
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Denmark

1519#30
UEFA
VS

North Macedonia

1397#107
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

76.1% 16.5% 7.4%
DEN
MKD
123
Rating Gap
2.21
Exp. Goals DEN
0.53
Exp. Goals MKD
92.6%
DEN No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/2W

Denmark won 6 of their last 10 games; North Macedonia won 2. Current form favours Denmark.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 123 pts

Denmark hold a 123-point rating edge: roughly 18.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.19 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Denmark have a major tournament title to their name; North Macedonia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 9% W

North Macedonia have won 9% of games entering as underdogs (3W from 34). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
DEN Win
0
Draws
0
MKD Win
4
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
118
Games Played
76
53.4%
Win %
38.2%
1.90
Goals Per Game
1.37
0.84
Goals Against / Game
1.33
47.5%
Clean Sheet %
32.9%
22.0%
Failed to Score %
26.3%
11.9%
Goalless Draws %
6.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,519
Current Rating
1,397
#30
World Ranking
#107
57.4%
Win as Favourite
61.9%
29.0%
Win as Underdog
8.8%
13
Longest Win Streak
6
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1574 (2021)
Peak Rating
1438 (2020)
3W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

76.1% 16.5% 7.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 26 Mar 26 AWAY
4 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.5%
0 - 0
6.5%