Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Denmark
39.7% win probability
Predicted winner
26.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.39 - 1.27
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Denmark

1516#30
UEFA
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

39.7% 26.0% 34.3%
DEN
COD
3
Rating Gap
1.39
Exp. Goals DEN
1.27
Exp. Goals COD
65.7%
DEN No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.14 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Tournament Pedigree 2015

Both teams are major tournament winners. Denmark's most recent title: 2010. Congo Democratic Republic's most recent title: 2015.

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: Denmark: 3W-4L; Congo Democratic Republic: 5W-5L. Records are closely matched, no clear edge.

Rating Gap 3 pts

Congo Democratic Republic hold a 3-point rating edge: roughly 0.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/5W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Denmark 5/10, Congo Democratic Republic 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
DEN Win
1
Draws
0
COD Win
0
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
119
Games Played
137
52.9%
Win %
43.1%
1.88
Goals Per Game
1.33
0.83
Goals Against / Game
0.89
47.9%
Clean Sheet %
38.0%
22.7%
Failed to Score %
25.5%
12.6%
Goalless Draws %
8.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,516
Current Rating
1,519
#30
World Ranking
#26
57.4%
Win as Favourite
51.3%
28.9%
Win as Underdog
21.7%
13
Longest Win Streak
5
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1574 (2021)
Peak Rating
1529 (2026)
3W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

39.7% 26.0% 34.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 03 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.7%
0 - 1
8.9%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.9%
0 - 0
7.0%