Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Mexico
90.0% win probability
Predicted winner
8.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.19 - 2.72
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Czechia

1450#59
UEFA
VS

Mexico

1609#5
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

1.4% 8.6% 90.0%
CZE
MEX
158
Rating Gap
0.19
Exp. Goals CZE
2.72
Exp. Goals MEX
10.0%
CZE No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Win Streak 6 games

Mexico are currently on a 6-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Recent Form 4W/8W

Mexico won 8 of their last 10 games; Czechia won 4. Current form favours Mexico.

Rating Gap 158 pts

Mexico hold a 158-point rating edge: roughly 23.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 13pp

Mexico keep 42.5% clean sheets vs Czechia's 29.1%, a 13pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.41 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 56%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
CZE Win
0
Draws
1
MEX Win
0
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
117
Games Played
194
47.0%
Win %
58.2%
1.65
Goals Per Game
1.60
1.23
Goals Against / Game
0.91
29.1%
Clean Sheet %
49.0%
22.2%
Failed to Score %
23.2%
4.3%
Goalless Draws %
9.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,450
Current Rating
1,609
#59
World Ranking
#5
65.6%
Win as Favourite
57.4%
24.5%
Win as Underdog
32.6%
5
Longest Win Streak
17
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1491 (2021)
Peak Rating
1616 (2005)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
8W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

1.4% 8.6% 90.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 24 Jun 26 AWAY
0 - 3
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
20.2%
0 - 3
18.3%
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 4
12.5%
0 - 5
6.8%
0 - 0
5.5%