Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Czechia
49.2% win probability
Predicted winner
25.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.59 - 1.09
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Czechia

1477#43
UEFA
VS

Guatemala

1427#72
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

49.2% 25.0% 25.9%
CZE
GUA
50
Rating Gap
1.59
Exp. Goals CZE
1.09
Exp. Goals GUA
74.2%
CZE No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/2W

Czechia won 5 of their last 10 games; Guatemala won 2. Current form favours Czechia.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

When Favourite 67% W

Czechia win 67% of games when entering as the favoured side (42W from 63). Reliable frontrunners.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Guatemala have a major tournament title to their name; Czechia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.07 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Underdog Record 23% W

Guatemala have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (70W from 308). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CZE Win
0
Draws
0
GUA Win
3
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
114
Games Played
116
48.2%
Win %
42.2%
1.68
Goals Per Game
1.56
1.21
Goals Against / Game
1.22
29.8%
Clean Sheet %
40.5%
21.9%
Failed to Score %
34.5%
4.4%
Goalless Draws %
10.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,477
Current Rating
1,427
#43
World Ranking
#72
66.7%
Win as Favourite
49.6%
25.5%
Win as Underdog
22.7%
5
Longest Win Streak
6
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1491 (2021)
Peak Rating
1491 (1967)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

49.2% 25.0% 25.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 04 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.7%
0 - 1
7.4%
0 - 0
6.9%