Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Denmark
47.6% win probability
Predicted winner
24.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.23 - 1.67
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Czechia

1477#43
UEFA
VS

Denmark

1516#30
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

28.3% 24.1% 47.6%
CZE
DEN
39
Rating Gap
1.23
Exp. Goals CZE
1.67
Exp. Goals DEN
52.4%
CZE No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.50 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Denmark have a major tournament title to their name; Czechia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 26% W

Czechia have won 26% of games entering as underdogs (13W from 51). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 15 games

Denmark's longest unbeaten run is 15 games vs Czechia's 8. Denmark have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Gap 39 pts

Denmark hold a 39-point rating edge: roughly 5.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2016-2026

0
CZE Win
2
Draws
1
DEN Win
4
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
114
Games Played
119
48.2%
Win %
52.9%
1.68
Goals Per Game
1.88
1.21
Goals Against / Game
0.83
29.8%
Clean Sheet %
47.9%
21.9%
Failed to Score %
22.7%
4.4%
Goalless Draws %
12.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,477
Current Rating
1,516
#43
World Ranking
#30
66.7%
Win as Favourite
57.4%
25.5%
Win as Underdog
28.9%
5
Longest Win Streak
13
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1491 (2021)
Peak Rating
1574 (2021)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

28.3% 24.1% 47.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 31 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 2
FIFA World Cup
A 03 Jul 21 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
UEFA European Championship
D 15 Nov 16 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
9.2%
0 - 2
7.6%
2 - 1
7.0%
1 - 0
6.8%