Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Belarus
56.8% win probability
Predicted winner
23.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.90 - 1.73
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

Cyprus

1318#174
UEFA
VS

Belarus

1377#123
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

19.5% 23.7% 56.8%
CYP
BLR
60
Rating Gap
0.90
Exp. Goals CYP
1.73
Exp. Goals BLR
43.2%
CYP No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 12pp

Belarus keep 26.1% clean sheets vs Cyprus's 13.8%, a 12pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.00 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 49%).

Rating Gap 60 pts

Belarus hold a 60-point rating edge: roughly 9.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 12% W

Cyprus have won 12% of games entering as underdogs (44W from 375). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 43% W

Belarus win 43% of games when entering as the favoured side (43W from 101). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2004-2026

1
CYP Win
0
Draws
2
BLR Win
2
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
98
Games Played
106
21.4%
Win %
30.2%
0.92
Goals Per Game
0.96
1.94
Goals Against / Game
1.52
16.3%
Clean Sheet %
34.0%
49.0%
Failed to Score %
42.5%
6.1%
Goalless Draws %
12.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,318
Current Rating
1,377
#174
World Ranking
#123
73.1%
Win as Favourite
42.6%
11.7%
Win as Underdog
23.3%
4
Longest Win Streak
3
6
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1393 (2000)
Peak Rating
1508 (1967)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

19.5% 23.7% 56.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 26 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Nov 08 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
A 18 Feb 04 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly Tournament

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 2
10.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 0
7.2%
1 - 0
6.5%