Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Serbia
39.9% win probability
Predicted winner
28.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.06 - 1.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.3
Over 2.5: 40%
Total goals
VS

Serbia

1426#75
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

31.7% 28.4% 39.9%
CVE
SRB
4
Rating Gap
1.06
Exp. Goals CVE
1.22
Exp. Goals SRB
60.1%
CVE No Defeat
2.3
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 6W/4W

Cape Verde won 6 of their last 10 games; Serbia won 4. Current form favours Cape Verde.

Tournament Pedigree 2000

Cape Verde have a major tournament title to their name; Serbia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Trajectory +8 pts

Cape Verde are gaining momentum recently (+8 pts). Serbia have moved -51 pts in the same window.

Goal Patterns 2.3 xG

Combined avg of 2.49 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.3 (Over 2.5 probability: 40%).

Penalty Shootouts 60% PSO

Shootout record: Cape Verde: 3W-2L; Serbia: 0W-1L. Edge goes to Cape Verde if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
CVE Win
0
Draws
0
SRB Win
3
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
2
Games Played
115
100.0%
Win %
46.1%
3.00
Goals Per Game
1.54
0.00
Goals Against / Game
1.19
100.0%
Clean Sheet %
30.4%
0.0%
Failed to Score %
26.1%
0.0%
Goalless Draws %
7.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,422
Current Rating
1,426
-
World Ranking
#75
47.1%
Win as Favourite
59.8%
26.1%
Win as Underdog
23.6%
3
Longest Win Streak
5
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1432 (2013)
Peak Rating
1537 (2022)
3W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

31.7% 28.4% 39.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 May 26 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
0 - 0
10.2%
1 - 2
8.1%
0 - 2
7.6%